Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. Is the 40 Yard Dash the Most Overrated Test for Running | STACK Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Single He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? "Matthew Berry, ESPN. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + most overrated running backs of all time - flicks4fun.com Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time | TheRichest Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Clyde Edwards-Helaire was used as a space player last year, and his lack of a red-zone presence placed a ceiling on his fantasy value. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Simpson 13. Jerome Bettis 16. Fred Taylor The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. His current draft price is almost his upside. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. No thanks. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. I am a heretic in that regard. most overrated running backs of all time - mediperi.com These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. Adrian . David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup The fact is, he never . Jan 26 . Preseason may help a little. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. My, my, how the game has changed. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. The Greatest 30 Running Backs in NFL History, Ranked - Alot Living But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. The Top Ten. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. 54 touchdowns. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. His value is trending in the wrong direction. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Photo: Isaiah J. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Top 50 Running Backs of All Time List - Sports Articles Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Most overrated qbs of all time | Acrylic Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. 5. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. . Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Edgerrin James 17. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Adrian Peterson 10. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. There isnt much to like here. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. There's zero appeal here. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Eric Dickerson 8. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. J.D. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Walter Payton 5. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Kudos to James Robinson. McKissic. Tony Dorsett 12. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. So what's the concern? Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. Top 11 running backs of all time from Barry Sanders to O.J. Simpson Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. Overrated at the Oscars: Best Picture winners most out of step with Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. most overrated running backs of all time NFL draft 2022 running back projections - Rankings, historical comps However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. David Montgomery Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. 21 RB Sleepers.